0xFc0b1518BA70D17e2A35EB289CC8271a866Ca782-1775218074668
0xfc0b1518ba70d17e2a35eb289cc8271a866ca782
- Realised P&L
- $-970.30
- Volume
- $191.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,536
- Open portfolio
- $14.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,536
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$292.59at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?
- +$274.68at 0.093Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 13?
- +$233.61at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
- +$207.75at 0.103Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?
- +$201.61at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3366336447 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 10:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.53 | $20.25 |
| 09-21 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.993 | $57.65 |
| 09-21 08:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5268389434 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.92 | $7.95 |
| 09-21 08:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.46 |
| 09-21 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.92 | $7.26 |
| 09-21 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.991 | $22.13 |
| 09-21 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.809999985 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.41 |
| 09-21 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.2415973232 | $8.30 |
| 09-21 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.4431378092 | $12.54 |