PolyBot

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Traders

XAMULA

0xfc09569ffc90e28c03e36d0ecdf3f6848fef8c36

Realised P&L
$278.42
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$775.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.8920.875$271.01−$5.32
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.8450.958$112.47+$13.21
Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.5200.505$94.45−$2.81
Will "Whalefall" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.6560.815$83.94+$16.34
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4990.595$47.17+$7.64
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.1750.230$46.53+$11.03
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.1090.147$37.91+$9.91
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.2500.260$24.96+$0.96
Will "Dune: Part Three" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.4050.460$23.87+$2.87
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.1130.120$18.34+$1.14
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.0890.070$5.53−$1.47
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.4600.505$5.49+$0.49
Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.1660.060$1.80−$3.20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4260.440$1.55+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 17:36Will "Whalefall" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.656407767$67.61
10-14 14:57Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.5199999987$97.26
10-12 20:34Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.8449999992$99.26
10-12 18:19Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.8699999998$149.99
10-10 20:51Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9199999997$126.34
10-10 18:20Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.0886738197$7.00
10-09 21:13Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.1754633096$35.50
10-09 18:27Will "Dune: Part Three" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.4047536192$21.00
10-08 21:06Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.1129999995$17.20
10-08 20:05Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.25$24.00
10-08 19:48Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-08 19:26Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.425999971$1.50
10-08 18:20Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.1663405062$5.00
10-08 15:50Will "Other Mommy" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.7348349706$111.00
10-01 20:28Will "Digger" score at least 52 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.3706671684$80.00