doxe
0xfc0523110d011c5b5f493d39cf88a5dcb91ef600
- Realised P&L
- $160.62
- Volume
- $397.9k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $15.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.140 | 0.125 | $15.33 | −$1.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$483.78at 0.038Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$448.34at 0.063Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$423.31at 0.125MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$310.00at 0.300Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$269.50at 0.650Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:53 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.140125 | $56.05 |
| 06-25 08:00 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.052 | $119.60 |
| 06-08 12:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? | SELL | 0.222 | $59.99 |
| 06-08 12:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | SELL | 0.0172385668 | $8.62 |
| 06-08 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? | SELL | 0.234 | $46.80 |
| 06-08 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? | SELL | 0.0831851852 | $6.74 |
| 06-08 11:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.37 |
| 06-08 11:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.0349999967 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 11:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.034 | $2.56 |
| 05-23 23:04 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.74 | $30.84 |
| 05-23 22:48 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 22:37 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.1 | $8.12 |
| 05-23 22:35 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 22:33 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 13:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.165 | $26.24 |