fmaster
0xfc0379c0eeb5a2bef4c89604eee554db0ef1a759
- Realised P&L
- $-5.79
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.695 | 0.729 | $2.3k | +$107.65 |
| Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes | 0.828 | 0.790 | $982.02 | −$47.40 |
| Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No | 0.862 | 0.900 | $728.72 | +$30.94 |
| Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.894 | 0.860 | $558.99 | −$22.25 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · No | 0.895 | 0.915 | $543.37 | +$11.79 |
| Exact Score: CD Real Santander 2 - 2 Barranquilla FC? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 20? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 2 CR Brasil? · No | 0.959 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.62at 0.650Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?
- +$1.38at 0.801Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 8?
- +$1.05at 0.650Fear & Greed Index says "Greed" on Friday?
- +$0.68at 0.490Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?
- +$0.27at 0.680US-EU trade deal before June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:53 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.789999949 | $1.86 |
| 11-01 22:51 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7437279861 | $180.07 |
| 11-01 18:53 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7342016 | $73.42 |
| 11-01 17:03 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.73725 | $73.72 |
| 11-01 16:53 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7421803279 | $45.27 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 11-01 16:47 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.753 | $37.65 |
| 11-01 16:42 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.88 | $82.59 |
| 11-01 16:42 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7481538462 | $97.26 |
| 11-01 16:38 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7438196721 | $45.37 |
| 11-01 16:37 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.74 | $45.14 |
| 11-01 16:37 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.741 | $22.23 |
| 11-01 16:36 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.83925 | $671.40 |
| 11-01 16:26 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $49.19 |
| 11-01 16:18 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.81 | $129.60 |