hoppyloppy
0xfbfc2aafbf689ed427eca8a8dac340f904f731b1
- Realised P&L
- $-223.01
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $6.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.61at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 8?
- +$74.01at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 3?
- +$72.57at 0.145Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?
- +$71.47at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
- +$71.28at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C or higher on May 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.27494 | $2.75 |
| 09-20 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.55 |
| 05-19 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20? | BUY | 0.2617485265 | $6.66 |
| 05-19 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.74 |
| 05-19 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 20? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.45 |
| 05-19 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 20? | BUY | 0.1476426214 | $6.26 |
| 05-18 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 19? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.83 |
| 05-17 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 19? | BUY | 0.1487855234 | $6.13 |
| 05-17 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18? | BUY | 0.3431487514 | $6.32 |
| 05-17 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 19? | BUY | 0.1512083847 | $3.68 |
| 05-17 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 19? | BUY | 0.155 | $6.20 |
| 05-17 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 19? | BUY | 0.1533333333 | $4.60 |
| 05-17 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 19? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.25 |
| 05-17 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 18? | BUY | 0.2130783242 | $5.85 |
| 05-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 18? | BUY | 0.0441931217 | $3.34 |