PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hoppyloppy

0xfbfc2aafbf689ed427eca8a8dac340f904f731b1

Realised P&L
$-223.01
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$6.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 22? · Yes0.0800.105$3.94+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.2800.195$2.09$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or higher on April 29? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 14? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00$14.18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$12.83
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$14.39
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$4.74
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 9? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$4.56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 11? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00$12.80
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 9? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$11.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 4? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.90
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 21? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00$2.75
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 4? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$11.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 18? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00$5.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 18:47Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 21?BUY0.27494$2.75
09-20 18:46Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?BUY0.14$2.55
05-19 21:38Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?BUY0.2617485265$6.66
05-19 21:38Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?BUY0.22$4.74
05-19 21:38Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 20?BUY0.36$5.45
05-19 21:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 20?BUY0.1476426214$6.26
05-18 00:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 19?BUY0.2$5.83
05-17 18:40Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 19?BUY0.1487855234$6.13
05-17 12:39Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18?BUY0.3431487514$6.32
05-17 12:39Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 19?BUY0.1512083847$3.68
05-17 12:39Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 19?BUY0.155$6.20
05-17 12:39Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 19?BUY0.1533333333$4.60
05-17 12:39Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 19?BUY0.21$6.25
05-17 12:26Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 18?BUY0.2130783242$5.85
05-17 06:30Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 18?BUY0.0441931217$3.34