PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ferizio

0xfbfa12f41b492153884917fa5ac2b763716201aa

Realised P&L
$-67.93
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$1.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.0240.025$1.23+$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · No0.1400.023$0.18−$0.94
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.99
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:07Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?BUY0.00398$0.99
10-08 07:46Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?BUY0.0858333333$1.03
10-07 12:45Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?BUY0.66$3.30
10-05 13:39Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?SELL0.07$0.88
10-05 13:39Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?BUY0.08$1.00
01-14 09:10Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?BUY0.031$2.33
01-14 08:50Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?BUY0.045$1.35
01-13 08:24Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $16-19m?BUY0.05$2.50
01-13 08:10Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $16-19m?BUY0.038$1.90
12-27 11:40Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?BUY0.008$4.00
12-27 11:37Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?BUY0.008$2.40
12-20 08:55Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?SELL0.995$2.91
12-18 14:46Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?BUY0.5099999418$1.49
12-17 08:58Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?SELL0.17$5.31
12-16 11:54Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?BUY0.003$0.18