PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfBF9F5b771c4Eb84C184F5e51e83Ab9005a1E165-1772408540531

0xfbf9f5b771c4eb84c184f5e51e83ab9005a1e165

Realised P&L
$-66.99
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$33.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? · No0.8410.957$11.38+$1.38
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.2100.285$6.79+$1.79
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.952$5.80+$0.80
Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? · Yes0.4800.485$4.41+$0.05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2700.144$3.21−$2.79
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1400.135$1.93−$0.07
Kash Patel out by June 30? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 05:15Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?SELL0.826$6.10
07-26 05:14Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2699999698$6.00
06-07 03:57Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.994$5.23
06-06 08:52Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?BUY0.8410260891$10.00
04-26 04:00Kash Patel out by June 30?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
04-03 22:13Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?SELL0.01$0.06
03-13 12:35Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?BUY0.9689999964$4.00
03-08 05:25Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
03-07 11:44Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?SELL0.04$4.77
03-01 10:24Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.022$0.61
03-01 10:24Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5909999652$5.00
03-01 10:23Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5889999756$5.00
03-01 05:42Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
02-28 12:50Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
02-28 12:46Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?BUY0.7989999712$5.00