PolyBot

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Traders

0xfbed2ec37f6507fb9c521f24914dbc3180346f78

0xfbed2ec37f6507fb9c521f24914dbc3180346f78

Realised P&L
$-47.31
Volume
$11.0k
Markets traded
344
Open portfolio
$10.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded344
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1760.405$2.30+$1.30
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat? · No0.1000.110$1.10+$0.10
Will Sportfreunde Siegen 1899 win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.0500.055$1.10+$0.10
Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.0130.014$1.08+$0.08
Will China PR vs. Maldives end in a draw? · Yes0.0350.032$0.90$0.10
Will RW Oberhausen win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.1200.105$0.88$0.12
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-01 House seat? · Yes0.0550.037$0.68$0.32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1300.075$0.58$0.42
Will Sportfreunde Siegen 1899 vs. Borussia Monchengladbach end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.050$0.45$0.18
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? · No0.0950.042$0.44$0.56
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.028$0.34$0.66
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat? · No0.1100.037$0.34$0.66
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat? · No0.0800.009$0.12$0.88
Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-09-23? · Yes0.0600.001$0.01$0.99
Will América de Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 01:23Will RW Oberhausen win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-24 01:21Will China PR vs. Maldives end in a draw?BUY0.0349999995$1.00
09-24 01:20Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.013$1.00
09-24 01:16Will Sportfreunde Siegen 1899 win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.05$1.00
09-24 01:15Will Sportfreunde Siegen 1899 vs. Borussia Monchengladbach end in a draw?BUY0.07$0.63
09-24 01:13Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-09-23?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-24 01:11Will América de Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro end in a draw?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-22 03:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.219999978$1.00
09-22 02:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-22 02:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-21 19:52Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
09-21 16:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-21 16:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-21 08:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-21 07:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.08$1.00