PolyBot

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Traders

0xfbe307c6f79d0486c3a2d99fd7592b4dd0f56599

0xfbe307c6f79d0486c3a2d99fd7592b4dd0f56599

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$59.2k
Markets traded
997
Open portfolio
$195.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded997
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9500.935$73.81−$1.18
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9330.740$58.59−$15.26
W50 Lexington, SC: Arantxa Rus vs Malaika Rapolu · Arantxa Rus0.4291.000$22.81+$13.03
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller · Elmer Moeller0.9801.000$15.51+$0.30
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears · Doosan Bears0.6100.850$4.68+$1.32
Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 · Over0.4800.505$4.44+$0.22
Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers · Yokohama BayStars0.5440.795$3.68+$1.16
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers · KT Wiz0.6200.500$3.67−$0.88
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers · SSG Landers0.4200.500$3.63+$0.58
Panathinaikos vs. Fenerbahce · Panathinaikos0.6700.675$2.94+$0.02
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.5500.510$1.07−$0.08
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1700.047$0.48−$1.25
W50 Lexington, SC: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Maria Lourdes Carle · Maria Lourdes Carle0.6000.001$0.01−$14.41
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller · Zsombor Piros0.1700.001$0.01−$2.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:47Panathinaikos vs. FenerbahceBUY0.6699999931$2.92
10-08 16:39W50 Lexington, SC: Arantxa Rus vs Malaika RapoluBUY0.4399999251$1.88
10-08 16:39W50 Lexington, SC: Arantxa Rus vs Malaika RapoluBUY0.43$4.89
10-08 16:39W50 Lexington, SC: Arantxa Rus vs Malaika RapoluBUY0.42$3.01
10-08 16:01Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer MoellerSELL0.52$11.21
10-08 15:58Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5BUY0.48$4.22
10-08 15:57Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek BartonBUY0.539999966$1.27
10-08 15:56Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer MoellerBUY0.17$2.22
10-08 15:54Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer MoellerSELL0.5$0.28
10-08 15:53Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer MoellerSELL0.51$0.37
10-08 15:53W50 Lexington, SC: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Maria Lourdes CarleBUY0.58$4.75
10-08 15:47Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer MoellerBUY0.8099999773$4.99
10-08 15:47Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer MoellerBUY0.8099999773$4.99
10-08 15:47Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer MoellerBUY0.81$8.53
10-08 15:40W50 Lexington, SC: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Maria Lourdes CarleBUY0.61$4.84