0xFbE2400bc587Ba62Fd9dec3C44a9E579eA65F54A-1778054060597
0xfbe2400bc587ba62fd9dec3c44a9e579ea65f54a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $77.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,979
- Open portfolio
- $37.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,979
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.06at 0.543Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
- +$149.58at 0.211Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?
- +$133.27at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 9?
- +$108.70at 0.205Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?
- +$100.16at 0.544Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.09 |
| 09-22 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-22 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0841156463 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3910068426 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6180592716 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.9184469201 | $14.02 |