PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFbE2400bc587Ba62Fd9dec3C44a9E579eA65F54A-1778054060597

0xfbe2400bc587ba62fd9dec3c44a9e579ea65f54a

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$77.1k
Markets traded
1,979
Open portfolio
$37.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,979
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?SELL0.999$24.09
09-22 11:18Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 24?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
09-22 11:17Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?SELL0.999$9.99
09-22 10:37Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?BUY0.609999986$10.00
09-22 08:16Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 22?SELL0.0841156463$1.48
09-22 05:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.1699999983$3.00
09-22 05:34Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.3910068426$1.00
09-22 05:34Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.3899999844$3.00
09-22 05:17Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.25$1.00
09-22 01:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-22 01:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.339999985$5.00
09-21 22:58Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?BUY0.32$1.00
09-21 14:18Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?BUY0.4$10.00
09-21 11:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.6180592716$5.00
09-21 07:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 21?SELL0.9184469201$14.02