PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xFBdAf75096741D7520BFFE0709215580943C81aE-1767514891834

0xfbdaf75096741d7520bffe0709215580943c81ae

Realised P&L
$-27.69
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$0.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.001$0.02−$8.69
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$4.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00−$3.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:08Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw?BUY0.2299999952$8.71
09-24 20:37Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.95$38.30
09-24 18:02Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.6199999945$25.00
09-23 23:38Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?BUY0.04$12.66
09-23 23:27Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?BUY0.9679999994$25.00
03-23 20:35US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.1699999941$20.00
03-18 23:00Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?BUY0.0282803984$4.00
03-18 23:00Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
03-18 22:52Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.117036732$22.00
01-06 21:17Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?BUY0.339999983$8.00
01-06 21:17Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?BUY0.1219999843$6.00
01-06 19:18Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?SELL0.999$18.16
01-06 15:29Lakers vs. PelicansBUY0.6799999946$10.00
01-06 15:20Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
01-04 09:11Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?BUY0.133999966$3.34