0xFBdAf75096741D7520BFFE0709215580943C81aE-1767514891834
0xfbdaf75096741d7520bffe0709215580943c81ae
- Realised P&L
- $-27.69
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$8.69 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.53at 0.680Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
- +$12.74at 0.632Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
- +$8.16at 0.550Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?
- +$4.71at 0.680Lakers vs. Pelicans
- +$0.79at 0.970Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:08 | Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999952 | $8.71 |
| 09-24 20:37 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.95 | $38.30 |
| 09-24 18:02 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6199999945 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 23:38 | Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21? | BUY | 0.04 | $12.66 |
| 09-23 23:27 | Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21? | BUY | 0.9679999994 | $25.00 |
| 03-23 20:35 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 03-18 23:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0282803984 | $4.00 |
| 03-18 23:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 22:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.117036732 | $22.00 |
| 01-06 21:17 | Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | BUY | 0.339999983 | $8.00 |
| 01-06 21:17 | Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | BUY | 0.1219999843 | $6.00 |
| 01-06 19:18 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.16 |
| 01-06 15:29 | Lakers vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 01-06 15:20 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 01-04 09:11 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.133999966 | $3.34 |