PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

chromatose

0xfbdae62258d92a290e556364c1479aff5bda4fae

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$139.1k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:54Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?SELL0.047$9.68
08-03 05:53Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3108898357$453.84
12-02 20:20Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.1723355987$64.00
11-09 10:22LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)BUY0.3599999989$121.15
11-09 08:16LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)BUY0.7799999997$500.00
10-26 04:43Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL0.3622954331$230.06
10-26 04:42Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL0.32$32.00
10-22 01:33Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?BUY0.5460773811$245.00
10-21 23:59Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?BUY0.4988944952$352.00
10-21 23:45Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?BUY0.4996299029$200.00
10-21 23:36Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?BUY0.5210939576$380.00
10-21 23:01Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?BUY0.8677282677$262.00
10-21 20:01Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.75$100.00
10-17 18:26Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?BUY0.962155867$338.00
10-17 17:19Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?BUY0.038$3.80