Markglub
0xfbcd421cadb79ec2b947da0e8d8fae00f447a4b1
- Realised P&L
- $-9.61
- Volume
- $342.09
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $8.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.41at 0.592Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?
- +$0.86at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19?
- +$0.59at 0.632Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.020946581 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0504821887 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0186369842 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-19 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0488718734 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |