PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Markglub

0xfbcd421cadb79ec2b947da0e8d8fae00f447a4b1

Realised P&L
$-9.61
Volume
$342.09
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$8.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 06:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-21 06:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-21 06:12Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-21 06:12Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22?BUY0.08$1.00
09-20 06:06Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.02$1.00
09-20 06:05Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 21?BUY0.1523809524$1.00
09-20 06:04Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.020946581$1.00
09-20 06:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.0504821887$5.00
09-20 06:02Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.0186369842$1.00
09-19 21:09Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-19 21:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.06$0.60
09-19 07:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.0488718734$1.00
09-18 22:22Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-18 22:20Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-18 22:18Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.2399999808$1.00