Alex18141
0xfbc97cb781ffacc63adeadd0baee259aae0531f2
- Realised P&L
- $159.40
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $89.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.63at 0.380Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$22.06at 0.760Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$18.00at 0.652Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$16.67at 0.600Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$15.26at 0.460Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:12 | Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:12 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:12 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31? | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 01:09 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 01:09 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 23:50 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 23:50 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 23:50 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 11:42 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.5399999712 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 11:42 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 14:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | BUY | 0.7749998321 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 14:10 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 14:10 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |