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Traders

Alex18141

0xfbc97cb781ffacc63adeadd0baee259aae0531f2

Realised P&L
$159.40
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$89.10

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · No0.6400.850$13.28+$3.28
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3740.465$12.42+$2.42
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8100.815$10.06+$0.06
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31? · No0.8200.805$9.82$0.18
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? · No0.7300.710$9.73$0.27
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? · No0.5500.520$9.45$0.55
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.6300.575$9.13$0.87
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7550.650$5.16$0.84
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8750.910$4.16+$0.16
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.555$2.73$0.27
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? · No0.7600.765$2.01+$0.01
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? · No0.6600.755$1.14+$0.14
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers0.5600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5380.000$0.00$10.00
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival · Aurora0.7600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:12Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
08-02 19:12Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?BUY0.629999988$10.00
08-02 19:12Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?BUY0.8199999902$10.00
08-02 19:12Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
08-02 19:11Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
08-01 01:09Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?BUY0.66$1.00
08-01 01:09Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?BUY0.76$2.00
07-31 23:50Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.5399999784$2.00
07-31 23:50Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsBUY0.5399999784$2.00
07-31 23:50Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.5499999725$2.00
07-30 11:42Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsBUY0.5399999712$3.00
07-30 11:42New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.4899999951$3.00
07-29 14:10Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?BUY0.7749998321$3.00
07-29 14:10New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.5699999059$2.00
07-29 14:10Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.5399999784$2.00