ChiCozCapital
0xfbc4f4bb4c9d3f7b0b5f011db376959191cc201d
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $421.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $13.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.174 | 0.105 | $8.4k | −$5.6k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $5.1k | −$733.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.9kat 0.012Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$4.4kat 0.115Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$1.0kat 0.038Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$739.99at 0.250Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
- +$74.97at 0.120Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 00:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.16 | $613.12 |
| 07-17 00:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.8k |