Vhryit
0xfbc4c1e83989c764598f270bda55b539074016eb
- Realised P&L
- $97.05
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $24.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.899 | 0.827 | $4.69 | −$0.41 |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $4.58 | +$0.07 |
| Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.880 | $4.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.955 | $3.15 | +$0.15 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.930 | 0.961 | $3.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.920 | $2.43 | +$0.03 |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No | 0.936 | 0.947 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.625 | $0.82 | −$0.28 |
| Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.20 |
| Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed? · No | 0.987 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.50at 0.500Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
- +$0.54at 0.720Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$0.33at 0.750TikTok sale announced by June 19?
- +$0.32at 0.760Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?
- +$0.25at 0.800Gold missing from Fort Knox?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 19:18 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | BUY | 0.936 | $2.00 |
| 06-21 19:48 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999084 | $1.10 |
| 06-21 19:46 | Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $155.50 |
| 06-21 19:44 | GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9319996748 | $1.80 |
| 06-15 19:16 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099998066 | $2.40 |
| 06-15 19:14 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9299997985 | $3.00 |
| 06-15 19:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |
| 06-15 19:12 | Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.00 |
| 06-15 19:12 | Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 06-15 19:09 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8989999591 | $5.10 |
| 06-15 19:06 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.90 |
| 03-13 20:01 | Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.01 |
| 03-13 20:01 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.99 |
| 02-19 17:20 | Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.9949999577 | $6.00 |
| 02-19 17:20 | Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.00 |