PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfbC485eE52e3314662ED589E2Ee276D7d9765F8A-1777992296648

0xfbc485ee52e3314662ed589e2ee276d7d9765f8a

Realised P&L
$-814.07
Volume
$117.3k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$38.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0700.045$9.84−$5.46
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes0.1150.070$8.42−$5.35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1500.135$7.20−$0.80
Paris curfew by October 24? · Yes0.0700.065$4.64−$0.36
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? · Yes0.0360.028$4.55−$1.45
Paris curfew by October 31? · Yes0.0900.080$4.12−$0.52
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 38 and 40 million views on day 2? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$3.00
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 40 million views on day 2? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 03:41Paris curfew by October 31?BUY0.0899999992$4.64
10-19 03:40Paris curfew by October 24?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-18 08:56Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?SELL0.0880395608$10.10
10-18 06:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.149999997$5.00
10-18 06:19Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.05$5.14
10-18 06:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.15$3.00
10-17 07:58Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 38 and 40 million views on day 2?BUY0.0416355123$3.00
10-17 07:57Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 40 million views on day 2?BUY0.0140209561$1.00
10-17 07:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.17$7.08
10-15 04:09Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.1209999997$12.00
10-15 04:07Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.05$5.36
10-15 04:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.01$4.29
10-14 14:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.014$3.00
10-14 13:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.1110747049$15.00
10-14 13:55Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.039$8.35