0xfbc335ad6f7cf9362edd3db485f117ec67a6b9f9
0xfbc335ad6f7cf9362edd3db485f117ec67a6b9f9
- Realised P&L
- $-5.10
- Volume
- $163.84
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $8.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.959 | $3.28 | +$1.09 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.920 | $2.92 | +$0.73 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.330 | $2.26 | +$0.07 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.014 | $0.08 | −$2.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.59at 0.329Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$2.19at 0.500US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$2.06at 0.520Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$1.90at 0.540Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.90at 0.540SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:04 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.19 |
| 09-20 21:56 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999118 | $2.19 |
| 09-19 06:11 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.19 |
| 09-18 03:28 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5299999322 | $2.19 |
| 09-17 04:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999949 | $2.19 |
| 09-16 08:13 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5299999322 | $2.19 |
| 09-16 00:12 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999057 | $2.19 |
| 09-10 08:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999931 | $2.19 |
| 09-09 11:53 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.7599999861 | $2.19 |
| 09-08 15:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6499999555 | $2.19 |
| 09-07 11:38 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999503 | $2.19 |
| 09-03 01:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 3? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.19 |
| 09-02 14:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.19 |
| 08-17 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.7899999531 | $2.19 |
| 08-17 15:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.7199999737 | $2.19 |