PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kaputen

0xfbc23091f9976f67639e7708fdd70eab3ba3e30e

Realised P&L
$-494.94
Volume
$75.6k
Markets traded
205
Open portfolio
$20.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded205
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 04:12Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?BUY0.166$9.96
11-02 04:11Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.48$38.88
11-02 04:07Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?BUY0.62$62.00
11-02 04:07Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?BUY0.61$36.60
11-01 15:06Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.27$4.05
11-01 15:01Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.26$17.95
11-01 15:00Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.269$19.32
11-01 14:59Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.279$8.37
11-01 14:59Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.278$44.19
11-01 14:58Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.269$30.12
11-01 14:58Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.236$14.78
11-01 12:34Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.25$7.50
11-01 12:31Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.25$3.76
11-01 12:30Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.45$47.25
11-01 02:37Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.46$23.00