kaputen
0xfbc23091f9976f67639e7708fdd70eab3ba3e30e
- Realised P&L
- $-494.94
- Volume
- $75.6k
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $20.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.13at 0.184Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$129.74at 0.051Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?
- +$107.60at 0.103Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?
- +$89.91at 0.189Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?
- +$74.79at 0.153Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:12 | Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.166 | $9.96 |
| 11-02 04:11 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.48 | $38.88 |
| 11-02 04:07 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 11-02 04:07 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.61 | $36.60 |
| 11-01 15:06 | Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 11-01 15:01 | Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.26 | $17.95 |
| 11-01 15:00 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.269 | $19.32 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.279 | $8.37 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.278 | $44.19 |
| 11-01 14:58 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.269 | $30.12 |
| 11-01 14:58 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.236 | $14.78 |
| 11-01 12:34 | Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 11-01 12:31 | Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.76 |
| 11-01 12:30 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.45 | $47.25 |
| 11-01 02:37 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |