0xfbbb954cd92a4d61764dd6f58ef808b6ad573110
0xfbbb954cd92a4d61764dd6f58ef808b6ad573110
- Realised P&L
- $0.13
- Volume
- $301.40
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $7.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? · Up | 0.430 | 0.830 | $1.93 | +$0.93 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.605 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? · No | 0.760 | 0.905 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? · No | 0.750 | 0.870 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.215 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%? · No | 0.720 | 0.710 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.35at 0.278Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.422Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
- +$2.50at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.95at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 03:47 | Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 19:44 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:44 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 00:51 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:02 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:02 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 23:01 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4689998157 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:07 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 03:48 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 07:43 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:55 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:50 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:49 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4439998526 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:42 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4509999797 | $1.00 |