mykolaiv
0xfbb87dc8da01f1278a178bdfde38f225e115c381
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.735 | $1.1k | +$97.02 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.652 | 0.330 | $506.32 | −$493.68 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.59at 0.908Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
- +$16.71at 0.937Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?
- +$10.01at 0.909Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
- +$7.60at 0.948Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 20:04 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.6517661083 | $1000.00 |
| 08-13 19:59 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.67 | $1000.00 |
| 08-13 19:42 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-24 20:32 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? | BUY | 0.909 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 19:26 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.908110052 | $500.00 |
| 07-22 10:26 | Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31? | BUY | 0.9373306508 | $250.00 |
| 07-21 22:14 | Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31? | BUY | 0.9478076211 | $138.00 |