PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xFBae35e5F42A53D12BA7F58c02CDAabbEF6b54Cc-1762310664462

0xfbae35e5f42a53d12ba7f58c02cdaabbef6b54cc

Realised P&L
$5.98
Volume
$183.12
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$23.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9930.956$6.74$0.26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7400.815$4.40+$0.40
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat? · Yes0.9200.935$4.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? · Yes0.8300.835$2.21+$0.01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8300.855$2.06+$0.06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6700.625$1.87$0.13
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5100.500$1.57$0.03
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9790.979$1.00$0.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.7130.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 15:35Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.7399998224$4.00
06-27 15:34Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
06-27 15:27Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.978999441$1.00
06-27 15:24Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.9779998709$2.00
06-27 02:56Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.897$2.32
06-27 02:56GTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL0.92$6.90
06-15 18:50Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999904$1.60
06-15 18:46Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8299999792$2.00
06-07 14:13Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY0.9679998429$3.50
06-04 01:39Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?SELL0.962$3.06
06-04 01:38Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.999$5.00
06-04 01:33Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.6699996951$2.00
06-04 01:33Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.7709997409$2.00
06-04 01:31Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.7129999201$2.00
05-26 00:25Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?SELL0.951$2.06