God-is-great
0xfbad2a1d9def932f258c330749648a66fe7dd55b
- Realised P&L
- $-35.94
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $205.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.967 | $53.16 | +$0.58 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.991 | 0.991 | $51.51 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat? · No | 0.966 | 0.967 | $51.22 | +$0.03 |
| Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.979 | 0.958 | $49.79 | −$1.12 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? · Yes | 0.975 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.81at 0.949Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
- +$2.50at 0.950Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$1.96at 0.940Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.974Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?
- +$0.56at 0.940Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 08:48 | Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9704168677 | $22.09 |