0xfba80165d36f7f90d8ed596dc42d8374db0f5820
0xfba80165d36f7f90d8ed596dc42d8374db0f5820
- Realised P&L
- $-8.18
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $6.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.620 | 0.495 | $2.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 14? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 15? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.008 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 15? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 15? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.44 | −$1.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? · No | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on October 15? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.002 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.79at 0.535Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$1.34at 0.605Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$1.07at 0.525Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$-1.01at 0.986Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$-11.38at 0.136Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:04 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0043706294 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0028404249 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.0033032735 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.0040921888 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 16:38 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 16:27 | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1299999992 | $10.85 |
| 10-14 16:26 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $1.15 |
| 10-14 16:23 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |