PolyBot

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Traders

Nicejaguar11

0xfba4a7634fbc5ddfbed11018b795682ecafc4cdd

Realised P&L
$-18.6k
Volume
$218.0k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$23.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? · Yes0.1810.011$22.85−$372.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? · Yes0.1280.001$1.11−$282.02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$470.14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00−$873.20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$197.65
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$114.17
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on February 26? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$201.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.1410.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$230.65
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 26? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00−$546.87
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 20? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$303.39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 15? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00−$245.60
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$36.24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 15? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$205.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 16:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?BUY0.1899999992$18.06
10-12 16:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?BUY0.1874777488$82.87
10-12 16:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?BUY0.1799999999$280.00
10-12 16:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?BUY0.17$14.23
10-11 16:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?BUY0.1299999962$3.79
10-11 16:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?BUY0.1292022144$231.59
10-11 16:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?BUY0.12$47.75
10-11 02:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?BUY0.0327960651$23.64
10-11 02:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?BUY0.031$6.96
10-11 02:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?BUY0.25$35.00
10-11 02:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?BUY0.25$100.00
10-11 02:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?BUY0.25$25.00
10-10 20:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?BUY0.2599999991$16.97
10-10 20:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?BUY0.042$200.00
10-10 20:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?BUY0.2620464533$600.00