Nicejaguar11
0xfba4a7634fbc5ddfbed11018b795682ecafc4cdd
- Realised P&L
- $-18.6k
- Volume
- $218.0k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $23.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$454.50at 0.235Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
- +$382.90at 0.136FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
- +$194.13at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$178.58at 0.057Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?
- +$138.31at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 16:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1899999992 | $18.06 |
| 10-12 16:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1874777488 | $82.87 |
| 10-12 16:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $280.00 |
| 10-12 16:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.17 | $14.23 |
| 10-11 16:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1299999962 | $3.79 |
| 10-11 16:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1292022144 | $231.59 |
| 10-11 16:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.12 | $47.75 |
| 10-11 02:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0327960651 | $23.64 |
| 10-11 02:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.96 |
| 10-11 02:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.25 | $35.00 |
| 10-11 02:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 02:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 20:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.2599999991 | $16.97 |
| 10-10 20:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.042 | $200.00 |
| 10-10 20:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.2620464533 | $600.00 |