vvika
0xfba144bdb66b0b7f125aa4728798c44b02cc1ced
- Realised P&L
- $-2.08
- Volume
- $274.72
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $0.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.006 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0148698885 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0102666593 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |