ispiceTra
0xfb9c9848c795c57e0239868fb0cd4251fcba9066
- Realised P&L
- $38.40
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $385.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.085 | $177.45 | +$7.55 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $125.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.595 | $59.50 | +$28.50 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.205 | $20.50 | −$9.50 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.026 | $2.60 | −$20.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.60at 0.273Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
- +$8.00at 0.600Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
- +$-13.20at 0.120Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:21 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 10-02 19:20 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 09-29 12:57 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 09-14 06:22 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.082 | $164.00 |
| 09-11 05:13 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.059 | $5.90 |