PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ispiceTra

0xfb9c9848c795c57e0239868fb0cd4251fcba9066

Realised P&L
$38.40
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$385.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0810.085$177.45+$7.55
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1500.125$125.00−$25.00
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes0.3100.595$59.50+$28.50
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes0.3000.205$20.50−$9.50
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes0.2300.026$2.60−$20.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:21Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.23$23.00
10-02 19:20Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.31$31.00
09-29 12:57Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.15$150.00
09-14 06:22Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.082$164.00
09-11 05:13Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.059$5.90