unvadim
0xfb9a70c1ac0e3c0cf7b94ba898aa59bac1d1ea9f
- Realised P&L
- $-121.94
- Volume
- $61.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,110
- Open portfolio
- $82.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,110
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.978 | 1.000 | $63.22 | +$1.37 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 21? · Up | 0.968 | 0.983 | $9.83 | +$0.15 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 22? · No | 0.970 | 0.980 | $9.80 | +$0.10 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.160 | 0.006 | $0.05 | −$1.07 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.20 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15? · No | 0.953 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on September 11? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.79at 0.552Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$19.95at 0.030Will "Fear" be in the headlines this week?
- +$19.90at 0.801Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$16.05at 0.094Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 28?
- +$15.52at 0.805Solana Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-17 09:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.97 | $34.92 |
| 09-16 12:32 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 16? | BUY | 0.964 | $32.77 |
| 09-16 12:27 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 16? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-16 11:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 11:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-15 18:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-15 08:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-14 21:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $27.59 |
| 09-14 15:05 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.956 | $9.56 |
| 09-14 12:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.76 |
| 09-14 10:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $23.52 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9665753425 | $52.92 |
| 09-13 19:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |