pushkinakriss
0xfb9948c11da14d289dc0ed7c5544e778f5b73587
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $169.05
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.938 | 0.952 | $54.26 | +$0.80 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $50.61 | +$0.26 |
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No | 0.970 | 0.890 | $46.31 | −$4.13 |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.285 | $16.24 | −$4.30 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.951 | 0.416 | $1.62 | −$2.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.460Guardians vs. Reds
- +$1.3kat 0.370Thunder vs. Nuggets
- +$543.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on May 22?
- +$445.20at 0.440Orioles vs. Red Sox
- +$413.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 07:06 | Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.3603157895 | $20.54 |
| 12-01 12:32 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) | BUY | 0.34 | $240.00 |
| 08-19 10:09 | Orioles vs. Red Sox | BUY | 0.44 | $349.80 |
| 08-18 11:49 | Cardinals vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.45 | $238.05 |
| 08-14 07:57 | XRP Up or Down on August 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $208.00 |
| 05-19 09:03 | Solana Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $647.00 |
| 05-01 06:08 | Jets vs. Blues | BUY | 0.5 | $167.00 |
| 04-28 07:28 | Liberals win majority in Canadian election? | BUY | 0.6299999994 | $305.00 |
| 04-25 11:14 | Kings vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.5699999993 | $189.00 |
| 04-23 13:05 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.52 | $312.00 |