v3827dhqeuc7326ds
0xfb94615f863757d60cc98a4e4ce37ad7e5c1494f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $1.84M
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $9.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.07at 0.132Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$80.82at 0.530Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$78.09at 0.130Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$70.58at 0.024US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$60.00at 0.450Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 16:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7704215672 | $2.9k |
| 06-13 13:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $400.44 |
| 06-12 12:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $18.25 |
| 06-12 10:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $152.50 |
| 06-12 10:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $152.50 |
| 06-12 10:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $152.50 |
| 06-12 02:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $22.79 |
| 06-12 02:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $130.00 |
| 06-12 02:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5742520294 | $44.57 |
| 06-11 19:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $140.00 |
| 06-11 19:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $140.00 |
| 06-11 19:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5842307692 | $30.38 |
| 06-11 17:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $95.93 |
| 06-11 17:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $205.00 |
| 06-11 17:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $205.00 |