0xfb945653ce81750354721b6da9032d82b5e563bf
0xfb945653ce81750354721b6da9032d82b5e563bf
- Realised P&L
- $21.59
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $80.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.007 | $75.75 | −$114.85 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.049 | $4.64 | −$4.92 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.67 |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.44 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.44 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.43 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.41at 0.641Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.84at 0.623Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$-1.93at 0.083Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
- +$-3.00at 0.360Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
- +$-9.15at 0.217Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:47 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.016 | $95.29 |
| 09-17 13:48 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.023 | $95.32 |
| 09-17 13:47 | Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.56 |
| 07-19 22:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $227.55 |
| 07-19 21:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6015945902 | $94.23 |
| 07-19 21:20 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6919999992 | $49.24 |
| 06-21 21:00 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-21 20:33 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.209999983 | $8.89 |
| 06-19 23:31 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.77 |
| 06-18 20:35 | Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.44 |
| 06-18 20:34 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.66 |
| 06-18 19:38 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999946 | $26.67 |
| 06-18 19:22 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.3499999529 | $4.46 |
| 06-17 18:20 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.0889999833 | $4.43 |
| 06-16 20:36 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.8 | $23.59 |