PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vildebo

0xfb853dada10d9edf4e1b5a2d091df863fb0515f4

Realised P&L
$-55.92
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$132.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0060.015$82.35+$51.36
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.6760.890$19.73+$4.73
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8040.963$13.16+$2.16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7600.865$5.67+$0.69
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7900.884$5.60+$0.60
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.3100.967$3.12+$2.12
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · No0.7701.000$1.30+$0.30
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9810.999$1.02+$0.02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1800.065$0.36−$0.64
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.043$0.33−$0.67
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.045$0.16−$1.84
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 10:11Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0057250925$30.00
07-22 19:31Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-22 19:20Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7899999573$10.00
07-14 15:03Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of July 13 2026?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
07-14 15:03Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 Week of July 13 2026?BUY0.9399997556$2.00
07-14 15:01Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9$2.00
07-01 07:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1839998705$1.00
07-01 06:41Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9339999682$1.00
07-01 06:41Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9069999256$1.00
07-01 06:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8989999515$1.00
07-01 06:40Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3279999654$5.00
06-27 09:59Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-27 09:57Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.7599993312$1.00
06-27 09:56Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
06-27 09:56Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?BUY0.84$1.00