Vildebo
0xfb853dada10d9edf4e1b5a2d091df863fb0515f4
- Realised P&L
- $-55.92
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $132.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.62at 0.520Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $395?
- +$3.79at 0.881Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$3.69at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$3.12at 0.620Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.632Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 10:11 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0057250925 | $30.00 |
| 07-22 19:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:20 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7899999573 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 15:03 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 15:03 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.9399997556 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 15:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 07:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1839998705 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 06:41 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9339999682 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 06:41 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9069999256 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 06:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8989999515 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 06:40 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3279999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 09:59 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 09:57 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.7599993312 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 09:56 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 09:56 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |