0xB6826CD3e39f02bA8D4B8b23c58134da9988DCc4-1763469068516
0xfb8168544dd353cbba3fca436864472c2100b1f2
- Realised P&L
- $-40.66
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 312
- Open portfolio
- $96.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded312
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.65at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
- +$16.00at 0.656Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?
- +$11.46at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 5?
- +$11.28at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?
- +$10.55at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.7699999954 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-06 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.7699999954 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.6599999921 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.7599999919 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.8099999959 | $11.85 |
| 10-03 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 10-02 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.6799999873 | $15.00 |