0xfB78B06c56bd7c8B1A6eF92E1f22dF928541B493-1773488400005
0xfb78b06c56bd7c8b1a6ef92e1f22df928541b493
- Realised P&L
- $-0.91
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $16.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.996 | $16.93 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.993Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 7?
- +$0.06at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 1?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 20?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 22?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.994 | $16.90 |
| 07-03 07:29 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 07:23 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 05-19 03:48 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 05-11 07:35 | Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.60 |
| 04-25 04:35 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.54 |
| 04-23 08:39 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-22 09:34 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 09:25 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.94 |
| 04-20 03:16 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 06:32 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.985 | $601.42 |
| 03-17 08:19 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.985 | $632.37 |
| 02-28 15:14 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.954 | $20.76 |
| 02-12 00:10 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.9619999862 | $20.94 |