PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfB78B06c56bd7c8B1A6eF92E1f22dF928541B493-1773488400005

0xfb78b06c56bd7c8b1a6ef92e1f22df928541b493

Realised P&L
$-0.91
Volume
$25.9k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$16.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes0.9940.996$16.93+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 08:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29?BUY0.994$16.90
07-03 07:29Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$8.04
06-22 07:23Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$9.92
05-19 03:48Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.92
05-11 07:35Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.005$9.60
04-25 04:35Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$9.54
04-23 08:39Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.99
04-22 09:34Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.01$10.00
04-21 09:25Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$9.94
04-20 03:16Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.00
03-18 06:32Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.985$601.42
03-17 08:19Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.985$632.37
02-28 15:14Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL0.954$20.76
02-12 00:10Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.9619999862$20.94