kambrodd
0xfb70f61551015a9a072da56ee1f9170ad89b2789
- Realised P&L
- $-527.85
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $52.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.205 | $52.97 | −$138.23 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.80 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$503.99 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$168.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.04at 0.893Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
- +$72.90at 0.749Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$50.00at 0.890Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$44.00at 0.880Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 12:15 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.89 | $881.49 |
| 01-04 17:10 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $128.80 |
| 01-04 17:09 | Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.42 | $168.00 |
| 01-04 17:08 | Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $173.83 |