0xFb68912178b7396Cf1e9B42e5B3A6647d60caaBd-1773138178563
0xfb68912178b7396cf1e9b42e5b3a6647d60caabd
- Realised P&L
- $783.22
- Volume
- $102.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,208
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,208
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.35at 0.544Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on July 16?
- +$14.57at 0.907Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on April 15?
- +$12.95at 0.903Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 3?
- +$12.35at 0.916Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 30?
- +$11.11at 0.939Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9905914405 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 15:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 14:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:47 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.953829703 | $24.08 |
| 08-04 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $35.33 |