PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xFb68912178b7396Cf1e9B42e5B3A6647d60caaBd-1773138178563

0xfb68912178b7396cf1e9b42e5b3a6647d60caabd

Realised P&L
$783.22
Volume
$102.0k
Markets traded
2,208
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,208
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on August 5? · No0.9920.998$243.45+$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6? · No0.9960.997$150.15+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 5? · No0.9970.999$140.21+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 5? · No0.9960.995$129.78$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on August 4? · No0.9961.000$114.40+$0.40
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? · No0.9911.000$106.96+$0.96
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on August 4? · No0.9991.000$100.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or below on August 6? · No0.9980.998$74.96$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C or below on August 6? · No0.9960.998$61.01+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 5? · No0.9950.995$60.95$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on August 4? · No0.9961.000$50.15+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 5? · No0.9981.000$50.07+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5? · No0.9960.995$49.93$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 4? · No0.9861.000$40.56+$0.56
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 5? · No0.9900.995$40.07+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:38Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.998001996$25.00
08-04 16:40Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.9905914405$1.00
08-04 16:40Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.99$10.00
08-04 16:32Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.9879999992$10.00
08-04 16:31Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.9879999992$10.00
08-04 16:02Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 6?BUY0.99$10.00
08-04 15:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6?BUY0.992$5.00
08-04 15:46Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6?BUY0.992$30.00
08-04 15:06Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 6?BUY0.99$10.00
08-04 14:56Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.995$30.00
08-04 14:48Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.98$10.00
08-04 14:47Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on August 5?BUY0.997$10.00
08-04 14:44Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 6?BUY0.995$20.00
08-04 14:41Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 5?SELL0.953829703$24.08
08-04 14:38Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 5?SELL0.998$35.33