0xfb594898757ca1cfce327b74d41bd32bd4a6d1a7
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $199.1k
- Markets traded
- 440
- Open portfolio
- $7.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded440
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.536 | 0.420 | $7.83 | −$2.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$693.24at 0.580Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$505.25at 0.927Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$370.54at 0.614Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$333.39at 0.673Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$279.46at 0.737Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:02 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5363581109 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 20:55 | Will EC Juventude vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6699999795 | $7.20 |
| 08-04 20:51 | Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.41 |
| 08-04 20:43 | Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8699999834 | $2.10 |
| 08-04 20:43 | Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1465616798 | $2.23 |
| 08-04 20:37 | Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7699999561 | $3.86 |
| 08-04 20:36 | Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999257 | $1.89 |
| 08-04 20:29 | Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499999435 | $2.79 |
| 08-04 20:25 | Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw? | SELL | 0.948 | $8.59 |
| 08-04 20:25 | Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.09 |
| 08-04 19:56 | Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.80 |
| 08-04 19:55 | Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:54 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.94 |
| 08-04 19:30 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.7799999824 | $6.20 |
| 08-04 19:29 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.99 |