qptime
0xfb55803c8705998a7b7c4e423e7349d0d0c2ff0f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $191.9k
- Markets traded
- 484
- Open portfolio
- $70.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded484
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.38at 0.800U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
- +$75.72at 0.664Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?
- +$54.16at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 25?
- +$51.50at 0.660U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
- +$44.50at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.34 | $57.80 |
| 09-20 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.36 | $89.10 |
| 09-20 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1120986359 | $10.68 |
| 09-15 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.7696702608 | $233.42 |
| 09-15 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.72 |
| 09-14 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.6039467312 | $49.89 |
| 09-14 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.60 |
| 09-14 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.8085982618 | $28.84 |
| 09-14 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.8779972829 | $77.55 |
| 09-14 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.2030959752 | $3.28 |
| 09-14 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.1420819564 | $4.30 |
| 09-14 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.2736388434 | $5.02 |
| 09-14 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.2401102131 | $19.61 |
| 09-14 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.017101 | $1.71 |
| 09-14 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.2772222222 | $4.99 |