PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FTPLalpha

0xfb511c095f69700727ee6aee91b30bb87fefb1b2

Realised P&L
$-395.41
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
576
Open portfolio
$0.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded576
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 1? · Yes0.0740.002$0.20−$9.80
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 1? · Yes0.1290.001$0.03−$7.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 00:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 1?SELL0.4007739938$7.77
09-30 20:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 1?BUY0.1289580182$10.00
09-30 16:07Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.0738399457$10.00
09-30 12:47Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?SELL0.65$12.24
09-30 06:20Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?SELL0.23$6.97
09-30 06:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?SELL0.29789$5.96
09-30 04:44Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.530816865$10.00
09-30 03:41Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?SELL0.369766702$6.97
09-30 03:22Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
09-30 03:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?BUY0.5$10.00
09-30 02:43Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?BUY0.5299999868$10.00
09-30 02:40Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 30?SELL0.0321534975$4.11
09-29 23:46Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.0781540025$10.00
09-28 01:31Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.5490195992$10.00
09-24 12:37Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 24?SELL0.0875129534$3.04