0xfb4e91746dae0e052584e4e26e73d47020683a44
0xfb4e91746dae0e052584e4e26e73d47020683a44
- Realised P&L
- $3.54
- Volume
- $326.92
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $3.16
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.650 | 1.000 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.610 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.505 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.019 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.023 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.217Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$4.82at 0.308Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.65at 0.310US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.83at 0.359WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$3.56at 0.370US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:30 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:20 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:22 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:19 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:47 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:47 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:46 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 08:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:26 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |