PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pm123

0xfb498ac2428fcdc27bc752f732d53971982543fe

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$157.7k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$275.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6230.545$175.11−$24.88
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.7900.795$100.17+$0.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$99.36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$99.76
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.5900.000$0.00−$99.71
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$99.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$99.84
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain0.3550.000$0.00−$99.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia0.6200.000$0.00−$100.44
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$79.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? · No0.3970.000$0.00−$99.84
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00−$99.63
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$99.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$100.00
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$47.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 22:59Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.47$99.64
09-27 18:28Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.79$99.54
09-26 18:47Will Czechia win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.77$98.56
09-25 19:44Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.63$39.68
09-25 17:41Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.75$99.75
09-24 17:33Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.63$99.54
09-20 16:31Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.78$99.84
09-19 20:22Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.84$99.96
09-16 19:45Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)BUY0.81$99.63
09-12 17:03Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)BUY0.69$97.98
09-12 15:57Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.39$99.84
09-12 14:01Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.8$100.00
09-10 04:23Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)BUY0.75$99.75
09-04 18:54Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.6$99.60
08-29 08:52Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.68$99.96