pm123
0xfb498ac2428fcdc27bc752f732d53971982543fe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $157.7k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $275.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$733.15at 0.450UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)
- +$469.53at 0.630Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?
- +$451.06at 0.430Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?
- +$401.23at 0.559Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?
- +$400.00at 0.600Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 22:59 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.47 | $99.64 |
| 09-27 18:28 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.79 | $99.54 |
| 09-26 18:47 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.77 | $98.56 |
| 09-25 19:44 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.63 | $39.68 |
| 09-25 17:41 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.75 | $99.75 |
| 09-24 17:33 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.63 | $99.54 |
| 09-20 16:31 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.78 | $99.84 |
| 09-19 20:22 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.84 | $99.96 |
| 09-16 19:45 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.81 | $99.63 |
| 09-12 17:03 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $97.98 |
| 09-12 15:57 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.39 | $99.84 |
| 09-12 14:01 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 04:23 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $99.75 |
| 09-04 18:54 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.6 | $99.60 |
| 08-29 08:52 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.68 | $99.96 |