0xfb48ab3db5348f94b5b994459c62a80f5c3dc127
0xfb48ab3db5348f94b5b994459c62a80f5c3dc127
- Realised P&L
- $10.68
- Volume
- $207.09
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $10.09
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.30at 0.068Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 27?
- +$2.65at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?
- +$1.39at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?
- +$1.16at 0.467Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals
- +$0.91at 0.527Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.08 |
| 09-24 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.14 |
| 09-24 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.96 | $0.35 |
| 09-24 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.44 |
| 09-24 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.7 | $0.32 |
| 09-23 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.40 |
| 09-23 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.22 |
| 09-23 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.04 |
| 09-23 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.03 |
| 09-23 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.90 |
| 09-23 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |