4GTRGDF6
0xfb455d501a0fcd1e84cddf1bebff0de85e095172
- Realised P&L
- $134.20
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $5.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.310 | $5.27 | −$2.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.44at 0.576Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?
- +$47.78at 0.268Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?
- +$26.68at 0.528Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?
- +$12.18at 0.554Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting?
- +$8.97at 0.461Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:38 | Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 11-02 03:37 | Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.4978053625 | $50.13 |
| 11-02 03:37 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.37 |
| 11-02 03:36 | Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 11-02 03:36 | Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 11-02 03:36 | Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 11-02 03:36 | Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 11-02 03:35 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30? | SELL | 0.3713536887 | $63.12 |
| 11-02 03:33 | Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 11-02 03:29 | Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 11-02 03:29 | Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 11-02 03:27 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $9.51 |
| 11-02 03:27 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 11-02 03:27 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 11-02 03:26 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |