PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4GTRGDF6

0xfb455d501a0fcd1e84cddf1bebff0de85e095172

Realised P&L
$134.20
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$5.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? · Yes0.4520.310$5.27−$2.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:38Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?SELL0.18$0.90
11-02 03:37Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting?SELL0.4978053625$50.13
11-02 03:37Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30?SELL0.18$1.37
11-02 03:36Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?BUY0.46$2.30
11-02 03:36Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?BUY0.46$2.30
11-02 03:36Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?BUY0.45$2.70
11-02 03:36Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?BUY0.44$2.64
11-02 03:35Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30?SELL0.3713536887$63.12
11-02 03:33Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting?SELL0.59$11.80
11-02 03:29Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting?SELL0.56$11.20
11-02 03:29Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting?SELL0.62$12.40
11-02 03:27Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting?SELL0.52$9.51
11-02 03:27Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting?SELL0.52$5.20
11-02 03:27Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting?SELL0.52$10.40
11-02 03:26Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting?SELL0.52$10.40