PolyBot

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Traders

Nynex420

0xfb43d765946c8e4ca7f5a2e715153a7071f7de73

Realised P&L
$-11.75
Volume
$18.7k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$53.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2290.043$15.15$65.39
Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? · Yes0.0780.030$12.92$20.08
Obama arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1000.026$5.99$17.01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1720.028$5.51$28.39
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.3500.065$3.90$17.10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2000.065$3.25$6.75
Obama federally charged before 2027? · Yes0.1800.050$2.75$7.25
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.060$1.80$3.61
Fed abolished before 2027? · Yes0.0490.017$1.74$3.26
Will Trump deport more than 1m people? · Yes0.1100.015$0.68$4.32
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$5.94
Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers0.2780.000$0.00$6.95
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utah · Nebraska Cornhuskers0.2570.000$0.00$7.70
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.87
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February? · No0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 00:09Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
09-12 00:09Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?BUY0.0899999989$4.00
09-12 00:08Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-12 00:08Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-12 00:03Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?BUY0.0897542958$4.00
09-12 00:02Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?SELL0.022$4.53
09-12 00:01Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?BUY0.0445137759$5.00
05-04 02:15Obama arrested before 2027?BUY0.1271042486$3.00
05-04 02:09Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
04-22 20:20Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?BUY0.16$1.00
04-22 20:19Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?SELL0.13$0.52
04-22 20:17Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?BUY0.16$1.63
04-22 20:14Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?BUY0.16$10.00
04-22 19:47Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?BUY0.16$5.00
04-15 14:05Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?SELL0.11$5.50