Nynex420
0xfb43d765946c8e4ca7f5a2e715153a7071f7de73
- Realised P&L
- $-11.75
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $53.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.88at 0.018 James Comey indicted before October?
- +$159.11at 0.266Lions vs. Vikings
- +$105.44at 0.304Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?
- +$72.81at 0.289Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$54.42at 0.561Eagles vs. Bills
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 00:09 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 00:09 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999989 | $4.00 |
| 09-12 00:08 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 00:08 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 00:03 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | BUY | 0.0897542958 | $4.00 |
| 09-12 00:02 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.022 | $4.53 |
| 09-12 00:01 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | BUY | 0.0445137759 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 02:15 | Obama arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1271042486 | $3.00 |
| 05-04 02:09 | Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 20:20 | Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 20:19 | Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.52 |
| 04-22 20:17 | Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.63 |
| 04-22 20:14 | Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 04-22 19:47 | Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 14:05 | Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |