0xfb3ffacfa6a19db1400c637edc6210b074b6bf66
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $11.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · Yes | 0.826 | 0.940 | $11.38 | +$1.38 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.08at 0.490Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner
- +$0.41at 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$0.31at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$-0.21at 0.943Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
- +$-1.00at 0.628Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 21:46 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0094553389 | $7.67 |
| 04-18 16:18 | Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $8.08 |
| 04-18 12:08 | Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner | BUY | 0.4899999559 | $4.00 |
| 04-09 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $2.37 |
| 04-09 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.86 |
| 04-09 11:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.619999969 | $1.89 |
| 04-09 11:49 | Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | SELL | 0.903 | $4.79 |
| 04-04 20:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $0.62 |
| 04-04 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $1.82 |
| 04-04 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $0.94 |
| 04-04 19:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $1.41 |
| 04-04 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $0.95 |
| 04-04 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.459999885 | $1.84 |
| 04-04 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $4.29 |
| 04-04 19:34 | Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | BUY | 0.9430569314 | $5.00 |