tifaingulyator
0xfb3c0cbcb392ecfd83c79f822f3f59d9c1accd74
- Realised P&L
- $-48.12
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $61.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.990 | $59.80 | +$1.24 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.981 | $1.75 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$566.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on July 24?
- +$540.40at 0.440Athletics vs. Cardinals
- +$503.23at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?
- +$476.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 12?
- +$471.90at 0.450Brewers vs. Mets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 10:41 | Athletics vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.44 | $424.60 |
| 07-15 08:44 | Solana Up or Down on July 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $473.00 |
| 07-11 13:46 | Solana Up or Down on July 12? | BUY | 0.5 | $476.00 |
| 07-09 11:01 | XRP Up or Down on July 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $473.00 |
| 07-02 12:57 | Brewers vs. Mets | BUY | 0.45 | $386.10 |
| 05-12 12:05 | Brewers vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.55 | $607.20 |