0xfb3A7c371587C4900AA21Fbc267C3cC64791bEF0-1772436689267
0xfb3a7c371587c4900aa21fbc267c3cc64791bef0
- Realised P&L
- $-48.99
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $32.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:05 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.05 |
| 09-12 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 11:44 | Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.092 | $7.45 |
| 07-09 14:47 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.13 |
| 07-09 10:33 | Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0382583974 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 10:32 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0539999949 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 10:31 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 10:30 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0548642988 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 10:28 | Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.1235149931 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 10:27 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 10:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 10:24 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.2083498546 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 10:23 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | SELL | 0.045 | $1.62 |
| 07-09 10:22 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.96 |
| 07-09 10:20 | Will George Pickens play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |