PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfb3A7c371587C4900AA21Fbc267C3cC64791bEF0-1772436689267

0xfb3a7c371587c4900aa21fbc267c3cc64791bef0

Realised P&L
$-48.99
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$32.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0590.181$15.38+$10.38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.305$8.47$1.53
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat? · No0.0800.031$3.88$6.13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2700.085$3.15$6.85
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0550.011$0.96$4.04
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0540.003$0.46$9.54
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$7.00
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$20.00
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$21.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.0770.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00$5.00
Iran full airspace closure by July 31? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:05Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.87$17.05
09-12 14:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.4699999944$5.00
07-10 11:44Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?SELL0.092$7.45
07-09 14:47Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1$3.13
07-09 10:33Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.0382583974$20.00
07-09 10:32Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0539999949$10.00
07-09 10:31Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?BUY0.08$10.00
07-09 10:30Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0548642988$5.00
07-09 10:28Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?BUY0.1235149931$10.00
07-09 10:27Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
07-09 10:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
07-09 10:24Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.2083498546$10.00
07-09 10:23Israel closes its airspace by July 15?SELL0.045$1.62
07-09 10:22Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?SELL0.11$3.96
07-09 10:20Will George Pickens play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?SELL0.002$0.05