djcouldbedown
0xfb345d934db7d33076e343cdb24726de8c353023
- Realised P&L
- $0.60
- Volume
- $193.09
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $66.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.660 | 0.655 | $32.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.355 | $17.75 | −$0.75 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by October 31? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.415 | $8.30 | −$1.90 |
| Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.300 | $6.00 | −$1.40 |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.095 | $1.90 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.52at 0.260Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31?
- +$-0.55at 0.780Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
- +$-1.80at 0.680Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:50 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.88 |
| 10-01 04:10 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.80 |