PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

greengasper

0xfb328b94ed05115259bbc48ba8182df1416edb85

Realised P&L
$30.4k
Volume
$3.04M
Markets traded
1,009
Open portfolio
$283.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,009
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.3740.070$223.09$967.65
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6500.490$37.69$12.31
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? · No0.0970.125$19.37+$4.37
Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.024$3.82$1.18
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00$41.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$10.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$100.00
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? · Yes0.5880.000$0.00$100.00
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · No0.0780.000$0.00$50.00
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$150.00
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.2470.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Up0.3220.000$0.00$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up0.4550.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:23Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.1395504608$10.00
09-18 11:09Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-17 19:28Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6499999994$50.00
09-17 11:20Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0307398505$5.00
09-15 19:04Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.894974717$160.00
09-15 19:03Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?SELL0.9313261427$105.34
09-15 19:03Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.88801184$200.00
09-15 14:24Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.9385921118$100.00
09-15 10:13Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?BUY0.8840766854$100.00
09-15 06:55Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?SELL0.6212745348$24.37
09-14 19:48Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4699999988$50.00
09-14 19:47Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4384395126$100.00
09-14 15:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.09$11.31
09-14 15:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.1592039801$20.00
09-14 08:22Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?BUY0.2686913195$50.00