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Traders

cristianhobbs

0xfb2e39bf426561eecfff8cb86dbea42ae91889a2

Realised P&L
$12.62
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$33.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.8200.845$14.44+$0.43
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No0.7800.655$13.10$2.50
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 90 to 101 km/h in September? · Yes0.7400.625$6.16$1.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:29Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.998999973$13.62
01-30 15:30Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$18.15
01-30 12:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$17.00
01-30 12:45Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?BUY0.999$50.26
12-30 16:17Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$3.27
12-30 14:19Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.999$9.60
12-30 13:41Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?BUY0.999$9.31
12-30 00:43Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.997$11.02
12-29 23:34Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?BUY0.999$16.57
12-29 23:07Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9939999718$33.08
12-29 19:50Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$20.44
10-30 22:31Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$19.45
10-30 20:48Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?BUY0.999$17.26
09-29 12:58Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.9879999804$17.13
09-29 09:15Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$12.71
Trader cristianhobbs · PolyBot Pro